January 7th, 1997:  East Dublin Specific Plan

“the plan identifie[d] locations for six new elementary schools, two junior high schools, and one high school (It has been assumed in these projections that Dublin High School would accommodate a portion of the students generated by the development of eastern Dublin).”

Per the 2004 Facilities Master Plan, there were to be five new elementary schools, one junior high school and no high school in the planning area.

 Measure C – Approved in Nov 2004. for 43.5M

A Path to 2nd High School

In Feb 2006, Board approves a resolution to have one high school. Reason it identifies not to have a 2nd high school in East are

  • The only potentially available locations were determined to be prohibitively expensive, too small, poorly served by existing or planned public streets, or topographically unsuitable. 
  • In addition, the initial construction and long-term maintenance “overhead” costs of creating a second campus, as opposed to expanding the existing campus, are prohibitively expensive, and so this entire approach was considered financially infeasible. 
  • In effect it operates as a “reverse economy of scale”.
  • This alternative to the Project would not meet basic Project objectives, by not timely delivering the enhanced, improved and expanded facilities needed by high school student enrollment growth projections.

In Jan 23, 2007 SCI Consultant presents to the board the projections.

Mr. Haubert asked for clarifcation on how the figures are projected in the Nielsen and Dublin Elementary areas. Mr. Haubert requested additional information be provided on the decline in the housing market and how that affects projections.  Mr. Haubert asked for the last three years projections of 2006 and how they correlate to what the enrollment for 2006 is currently.

Key Questions/Answers
What is the single greatest predictor of school enrollments?

Basically, the birth rates are the single greatest predictor. But in our district with large amounts of residences under construction, additional consideration must be given to the type of housing built and the eventual yield of each type of housing. The district has a particular yield factor, i.e. number of students (K-12), associated with a particular housing type. These factors are reanalyzed on an annual basis. Have our yields been accurate in recent history? The yields have been increased in the past year for different housing types in the area. Our yields this year have remained fairly consistent with prior year. The medium growth scenario projected by our demographers from last for this year were accurate of 24 students across the district.

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In March 23, 2010 Mr. Blair Aas, from SCI Consulting presented information on the demographic projections and the facility needs in the district over the next several years.

Mr. Tomlinson asked what the projections are based on yield.  He noted that although some housing areas have a large number of units, they do not typically generate a large student population.

Mr. Haubert noted that in 2014/15, it would seem that the number of students at the high school would be around 2,700 and is concerned because the school is being built for 2,500 students. (Mr.Haubert is the only one questioning the demographer numbers all along). Mr. Aas stated that it would not be until 2035 that the high school would see an enrollment of 2,700.

In June 2012, Measure E for 99 Million gets approved with theme to prevent Student Overcrowding

In March 25, 2013,  Dr. Hanke letter on portables at Kolb and Green – Due to “exceptional housing growth” portables need to be put in at Kolb and Green for TWO YEARS until Amador is opened.  The portables are still on the campuses.  Note that the reason given is housing growth.

In May 27, 2014:  DUSD  – CC  meeting,  at 244:00  Kevin Hart:  We are told that [the overcrowding issue] is 5 to 10 years out [by the school board demographers]

August 25, 2014:  DUSD- CC Meeting  [27:30 approx] Blair Aas presenting to a joint district city council meeting.  Due to a decline in birthrates, we expect kindergarten enrollment and thus elementary school enrollment to decline for several years and will help to keep the overall population down even with the new development.  New enrollment will be flat due to the low birthrate, even though more homes will be built.  “Short-term enrollment growth from new housing and SGRs will be offset by lower kindergarten and K-5 enrollment growth”  [31:30] “You can see that there will be capacity in East Dublin for a while.”  [43:00] Chris Foss notes that “a lot of the numbers that Blair is focusing his projections on coming from Linda and me.”

In  March 2, 2015 SCI Consulting in its 2014/15 Demographic Study projects 3,218 students at DHS by 2019/20.

In June 1st, 2015 District Optimization committee town hall meeting at Fallon on Middle school boundary change. Public attends and demands new high school.  Board seems surprised that parents actually want a second high school in the East.

In June 2nd, 2015, City Council Meeting (3:58:00). Don Biddle states he hasn’t heard any plans for building a High school. Dr. Hanke talks about school district can build schools when there are land and money and they have land only for Jordan Ranch and Dublin crossings.

Also in the same meeting City Council meeting due to lack of funding by DUSD, City reached a deal with Suncal the developer of Dublin crossings and did an  Dublin Crossing Plan Amendment  to include several land use changes that will financially benefit the Developer and allow them to transfer the school site to the City at no cost, including:

  1. Modifying the designation of the 12- acre School site to allow both school and park uses. This will allow the playground( s), recreational field( s), and other amenities to be used by both the school community as well as the residential neighborhood.
  2. Incorporating the 1.5 acre Chabot Creek into the Community Park and increase the acreage devoted to Medium Density Residential by 1.5 acres. Although this will allow the Developer more flexibility in where the residential development takes place, the Specific Plan limit of 1995 residential units will not be exceeded;
  3. Re-designating the 13- acre ” Mixed Use” site on the corner of Arnold and Dublin Boulevard to ” General Commercial/ DC High Density Residential”, thereby removing the requirement for both the 5 acre Neighborhood Park site and a minimum of 75, 000 square feet of commercial development on this parcel within the site.
  4. Remove the requirement to provide construction funding for a 5 acre Neighborhood Park  ($2.143 million);
  5. Remove requirement for the final Community Benefit Payment ($1 .2 million);

In August 25, 2015 SFNA August 2015, page 12 – “…District will need to construct at least one K‐8 school, one elementary school and one small high school to accommodate future unhoused students from existing housing and unhoused students generated from new mitigated and unmitigated units after the next five years.” [SFNA August 2015, page 12]

“The District anticipates the large “wave” of growth to move through middle school and high school levels. Housing students at all levels will be a challenge that requires careful planning, implementation, and communication. The district is moving ahead with plans to effectively manage the anticipated growth.”   “overcrowding in elementary schools in the east creating the need for portable classrooms and the diversion of students from neighborhood schools” in the Key Answers/Questions section

Sept 8, 2015 – SFNA Approved with flawed calculations

October 2015: “Managing Growth in our Schools – An Update on Jordan Ranch”

While the board understands that the immediate need is for middle school and high school space, the board moves forward with an elementary school.   The compromise is that it will be designed as a K-8.  Further, the white paper put out by the district states that the school at Jordan Ranch is being built for Jordan Ranch and future NON-VESTED (homes not yet approved by the city council) developments.  In other words, the school is being built to house students in homes not yet considered for development by the city.  The main benefactor would then appear to be the developers who hope to have their homes “vested” or approved in the future as now their lawyers can say that they should be allowed to build even more homes as a school was built specifically for them, even though they did not pay for it of course.

Discussion video – watch from 4:19:00

Oct 30, 2015 District hires Terra realty for future schools and mostly dublin high school.”The District is currently involved in a long term facility master plan process with LPA. It looks at long term demographics and works with district and community advisory committee on options for the district to consider for future schools and most specifically plan for Dublin High School. It was discussed and decided that the district would need the services of a real estate expert and experience dealing with multi-developers as is the case in Dublin at this time.”

Here is the Agreement: https://dublin.csbaagendaonline.net/…/terra_realty_advisors…

November 2015 – Middle School Update. Fallon Middle School had a student population of 1,391 compared to 848 for Wells.  At that time, there were 543 more middle school children in the East than in the West.  That gap was expected to grow to almost 700 more middle school children in the East than in the West by the next school year (2016/17) according to the district’s demographic projections, yet the school board continued to question whether a second high school was needed in the East.

December 14, 2015:  Dr. Hanke writes to City council about exceptional growth – Did not mention overcrowding.

In a letter to the City Council signed by all board members, the high school population excluding those at Valley Continuation High is projected to be 3,726 by 2020 or about 500 more than the projection from March of the same year, an increase of well over 10% even though Hanke continued to note that the demographer has never been off by more than one or two percent in any of their projections

In Nov 2015, Decision Insight, a third party demographer, presented forecasts of 4222 and 4814 high students by school year beginning fall 2022 and 2025, respectively

December, 2015 public writes about overcrowding and funding challenges.

In January 12, 2016 – Facilities Master Plan Presentation, Dr. Hanke – It is very clear to him that we need to take another look at what the definition of “overcrowding” is and what it means to the city.  When we were meeting last year as the DOC regarding Boundaries, we were meeting on a weekly basis in order to come up with a viable solution.  Dr. Hanke stated that he is confident that after the FMPC has completed its task he will be bringing a recommendation to the Board.  We will also do this while working collaboratively with the city. Mr. Tomlinson – With only 20% of the voters having students in our schools we cannot just assume that we will be successful with a ballot measure.

The community has requested the opportunity to provide direct input into the process. The District is providing that opportunity at this meeting and is also scheduled to repeat the opportunity at the February 9 meeting as well.

District capacity and space allocation summary.

In February 9, 2016, Mr. Tomilson notes Attended the FMPC meeting last evening and of course, the elephant in the room was the cost of building a high school in the east of Dublin. That cost could run anywhere from $250 million to nearly one-half a billion dollars. The district needs to plan for every eventuality.

Mr. Tomlinson Is very concerned about the student learning aspect of this process. You cannot just take a campus and divide it in half. You will have one large and one small campus for a time so the program will be unbalanced. There are too many unknowns at this time. There are funding challenges that are very complicated. You can wish things to be a certain way, but we are trying to look at ways to overcome the challenges we are facing. He is listening to what people are saying but also ensuring the district is staying on sound fiscal footing. Mr. Hakim  Will be speaking from the student learning area. A second high school adds value to what students can have access to. Stated we tend to divide ourselves between East and West Dublin. Should look at it as to what we have to offer to our students. We may not be offering equality to our students. We may be using the bond as an excuse. We need to pass the bond for all of our students, not just East students. Looking forward to getting the FMPC recommendation. Ms. Miller  Stated that tonight she got some clarity on what the FMPC is going to be recommending. Knows that she would not even consider a 5000 student high school.  Ms. Rouse  Stated that she felt the FMPC meeting was very well done. Felt that the members came with an open mind and worked hard and collaborated for solutions. Stated that when she weighed the many issues about why we would need a second high school, she did not consider the drive, but did consider student learning as the key factor. Researched and checked data from other districts and found that cities of 75,000, 25+ years after growth could still support two high schools, much like the population will be in the city of Dublin. Expressed that she had heard some news that had circulated on social media about how the discussions had occurred last evening at the FMPC meeting was not what it seemed.  It is helpful to have a comment from the audience as they offer their input. Even the easiest decision is given a lot of thought and every decision is made based on what is right for kids. The Board doesn?t do this for pats on the back, it?s for what we can do to help the students in the community. Stated that the Board members love Dublin. There were many comments made about the demographer. There was one number that was incorrect, and that was the numbers one year for the high school. That doesn’t?t mean that the other numbers were wrong. In fact, his numbers have been very accurate except for that number.

In February 19, 2016Board Approves 2nd High School Resolution

  • A new second high school site for up to 2,500 students.
  • The planned high school will be a non-satellite, self-contained program.
  • Construction would be done in phases with the first phase targeting 1,000 student capacity to be completed no earlier than fall of 2021.

Along with the existing Dublin High School capacity of approximately 2,500 students, the two high schools would accommodate the forecasted 5,000 students enrollment.

Feb 23, 2016 – Facilities Master Plan: High School Option Recommendation
FMPC Process, Engagement, Schedule
Facilities Master Plan-High School Growth Option Recommendation.pdf
High School Growth Recommendation PPT.pdf

March 8, 2016 – Community Member writes about a plan to build 2nd high school.

March, 2016 – DUSD Newsletter regarding 2nd high school

Initial Measure H Priority List

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In April 12, 2016 – Board revises the Measure H Priority Resolution

Money allocation is removed from the project list. Dublin crossing is mentioned as partial.

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In April 29, 2016 – Measure H Priority resolution is changed again with Dublin crossing option noted as design only.

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In April 26, 2016 City Council – School Board Trustee Joint meeting minutes

Presentation related to sites

Joint meeting between City council, City Staff, School board trustees along with Terra Realty advisor Mr. Sheldon.

In the meeting , Ms. Miller – Stated we should begin looking at other school districts that have built comprehensive high schools on smaller acreage. 
Ms. Rouse – Stated that the FMPC did look at other school districts and schools that were built on a smaller amount of acreage.

Mr. Tomlinson –  Stated that although everyone would like a second high school, we may need to look at the use of our own school sites that may be used to relieve the overcrowding at Dublin High School.

Mayor Haubert – Stated that a huge amount of work has gone into coming up with what the community wants to see to meet the needs of the high school growth issues. Sees the city’s role as that of support. Personally, he would be in support of Priority One and thinks the city should go down the path to look at swapping land; and/or rezoning to something other than commercial so that this is not a hindrance to finding land of the second high school. Schools and supporting schools, even if it means giving up commercial land is something he is in favor of.

Mr. Hakim – Asked if it was a correct statement that if Priority Two site was used it probably would not be a comprehensive school site. Mr. Sheldon stated that this was a true statement.

Mr. Cunningham – Stated that the cost for just the buildings for the second high school would be $262 million. This does not include any road work or infrastructure work on the land. Mr. Sheldon has already laid out the steps that the district would have to go through to prepare the off-site for construction.

In June 2016 – Measure H – Approved in June 2016 for 283M. Measure is campaigned as the money to build 2nd Comprehensive high school.

On June 3, 2016, Davis Demographics, a separate third party demographer, presented a 7 year (now 6 years) forecast of 4076 high school students beginning fall of 2022.  The forecast did not go beyond 2022.

In June 14, 2016 – 15M from Measure H approved for K8 School Cottonwood creek school. even though it was listed as Priorty #2.

Staff recommends that the Board of Trustees authorize a budget increase of $15.0 Million using funds from Measure H, to allow the full scope of the K-8 campus to be constructed. Amended Motion Made by Mr. Cunningham, Back-filling Measure H funds as funds become available. Original Motion 3 yes, 1 abstain (Rouse), 1 No (Hakim) Passed with a motion by Mr. Dan Cunningham and a second by Mr. Greg Tomlinson.

In June 28, 2016  DHS Science Building Proposal is presented to the board.  From the presentation it states :

The DHS Engineering Academy Project was approved as part of the Measure E Project list in 2013. The Board of Trustees’ bond re-prioritization in 2015 allocated additional funds to the Project. The Facilities Committee requested that staff explore a second option to demolish the existing building and construct a new engineering and science building in the same location. This option would include a maintenance shop/break room, weight room, restrooms, and 5 engineering classrooms on the first floor. The second and third floors would be 13 additional science flex labs to meet the science programming needs resulting from increased graduation and program requirements. The new engineering & science building could include a total of 18 classrooms. Current funding is $21,500,000 from Measure E. Capital Building Fund (Fund 211). $6,500,000 – $10,500,000 recommended allocation from Measure H  Capital Building Fund (Fund 212).

In June 2016, the Board reviewed 9 sites for a possible high school solution, as summarized below:

East Side of Dublin:

Croak – acreage not defined, but more than 50

Promenade – 22 acres

DiManto/Warmington – 3 parcels of 30, 20.7 and 3 acres respectively

US Army Camp Parks site off Tassajara near Wallis Ranch – 55 acres

Fallon Middle School – 24 acres

Central Dublin

SAP and adjacent county land – 25 acres with two existing office buildings

West Dublin

Nielsen School – 9 acres

Murray School – 12 acres

In September 2016 Community Update – A District newsletter was sent out  saying more information will come out.

In October 2016 Community Update – A District newsletter was sent out states The vetting process of potential sites identified by the Board continues. The Facilities Department is on track to present the results of this vetting process to the Board in November at a meeting date still to be determined. We will keep the community informed about this upcoming date

In November 29, 2016, the Board reviewed 6 sites for a possible high school solution, as summarized below:

East Side of Dublin:

Promenade – 22 acres

DiManto/Warmington – 3 parcels of 30, 20.7 and 3 acres respectively

US Army Camp Parks site off Tassajara near Wallis Ranch – 55 acres

Fallon Middle School – 24 acres

Central Dublin

SAP – 14 acres with two existing office buildings

West Dublin

Nielsen School – 9 acres

Murray School – 12 acres

NOTE: Croak was removed from consideration and the adjacent land next to SAP has been removed from SAP site reducing overall site to 14 acres

The Neilson/Murray sites involve a scenario where Murray elementary students are rezoned to Nielsen and Murray is transformed into a High School site.

SAP has two towers of 7 floors. Massive staircases and elevators would be required and other changes to conform to applicable codes.  The cost to convert this facility would be high.

In Nov 29, 2016 – Board renews Terra Realty  as consultant for 2nd High Property Negotiations. Science building proposal was submitted.

Terra has been involved in the second high school site identification, and evaluation which will continue for the 2016-17 school year.  Time allocated to this process will be billed on a time and materials basis not to exceed the contract amount based on the rate sheet attached to the contract.

In Feb 1, 2017 Board eliminated four sites from the potential sites for a future high school in Dublin and directed staff to begin negotiations on remaining sites. Eliminated sites included: Camp Parks, Fallon Middle School, Croak Property, Chen Property. The Zeiss property on Hacienda and Gleason was added to the list. Capture

In February 14, 2017 Board of Trustees eliminated SAP Complex from list of potential sites for a future high school in Dublin.

In March 14, 2017 Board of Trustees discuss potential capacity for Dublin High School and Future High School Site; agree to bring back at the next meeting on March 28, 2016.

In Feb 28, 2017, Board approves DHS Science building with 2 story option (Option F) and limit the budget not to exceed $25 million, if it cannot be done bring it back to the Board.

Motion by Dan Cherrier, second by Joe Giannini. Final Resolution: Motion Passes

Yea: Megan Rouse, Amy Miller, Dan Cherrier, Joe Giannini

Nay: Dan Cunningham

In March 7, 2017 – City Council Meeting – HS Site locations update

No one from school board except for their attorney attended the council meeting. Watch from 2:16:16 http://www.pbtech.org/clients/dublin_cc/…

March 14, 2017 – Davis demographer presents the projection numbers till 2023. (Scroll to 1:37:39 for the discussion). According to the report, 4537 kids will be in high school in 2023.

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Demographer mentions Dublin is unique and he hasn’t seen anything similar. When asked about the Number of homes in pipeline numbers he mentions he has considered only approved and vested homes. There are 4248 homes considered by demographer as per the city data there are 6957 homes. Also, he didn’t consider birth data of kids born in dublin. According to this data there are 3779 kids between age of 0-4 in dublin as of Feb 2017. If we take 10% variance of the 2 key missing pieces the projections go haywire.city data

In April 25, 2017 – Science building brought back on agenda. 3 Story option with a budget of 31.5m is approved which is an  increase of 6.5M in funding (Measure H 6.5M is taken) to add 3rd floor Hub space. Resolution adopted in Feb 2017 is changed. 3rd floor is added to the earlier approved design with a hub space, class room and lab space.science building

Motion by Dan Cunningham, second by Joe Giannini.

Final Resolution: Motion Passes

Yea: Megan Rouse, Amy Miller, Dan Cunningham, Joe Giannini

Nay: Dan Cherrier

In May 22, 2017 – Resolution to go ahead with the purchase of the Carl Ziess Property  was brought up. Community Rallied to say no to the property with a petition which had 1875 signatures.  Board presentation talking about alternate site options.

Dan Cherrier, Joe G, Amy Miller voted No on the resolution.

Megan Rouse, Dan Cunningham voted Yes on the resolution.

Some interesting discussions which are highlighted below :

Megan: OK, a clarifying question off of that is when you say within the budget you mean about that 50% of measure H is that what you’re talking about when you say that figure is for 1000 students in portables  it would be about $150-$160 million? Is that correct?
Kim: Um correct, thank you for the clarification it, to be clear it isn’t at the dollar amount that we’ve identified for the Zeiss property at this point it is based on the parameters that the board identified of trying to stay about half of the currently available measure H bonds funds.

Discussion highlights

In August 22, 2017 – Measure H allocation was discussed and the Trustees voted 3-2 to allocate only 100M for High school and assign 160M for modernization projects.

Megan Rouse, Amy Miller, Dan Cunnigham voted Yes on 100m allocation and

Dan Cherrier, Joe G voted No

Presentation of money allocation.

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Dublin-school-board-approves-second-high-school-but-not-everyone-happy/

Parents-students-fed-up-with-overcrowding-at-dublin-high-school/

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Murray and Dublin School District Timeline August 2016

Davis Demographer 7 year student enrollment projection – Dublin USD Board Presentation – February 13 2018

In April 11, 2018 board discussed again the funding allocation for Measure H.

Measure H Allocation presentation

Related :

News-coverage-by-media-outlets

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